S1-P04: Climate Projections

Categories: Land Use, Crop Monitoring, Water Consumption, Flood Monitoring

The climate projection service provides regional climate projections in Africa under 3 scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP8.5) for 3 future periods (2021-2040, 2041-2060, 2081-2100) and for 3 Global Warming Levels (+1.5º, +2º, +3º). The service is based on a multi-model ensemble of Coordinated Regional climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) simulations at about 50km resolution. All climate projection products are presented as total fields for baseline (1986-2005, 1995-2014 and 1981-2010) and the future periods and as projected future anomalies from the baseline periods. The significance and robustness of the projected future anomalies are also provided.

Projected future anomalies of annual mean temperature and precipitation for the 3 future periods are provided through the AfriCultuReS platform as static layers (spatial maps) listed below. Full access to the AfriCultuReS climate service is provided by a dedicated AfriCultuReS Climate Portal. The Climate Portal allows creation of customised products with climate projections for a number of meteorological variables and indices in Africa. The customisation includes temporal (any season or month) and spatial (any country or polygon) subsetting and subsequent visualisation and download of the customised spatial maps and time series.


S1-P04: Climate Projections : List of Layers

2m Mean Air Temperature Anomaly (Celsius) RCP2.6 2021-2040 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

2m Mean Air Temperature Anomaly (Celsius) RCP2.6 2041-2060 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

2m Mean Air Temperature Anomaly (Celsius) RCP2.6 2081-2100 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

2m Mean Air Temperature Anomaly (Celsius) RCP4.5 2021-2040 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

2m Mean Air Temperature Anomaly (Celsius) RCP4.5 2041-2060 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

2m Mean Air Temperature Anomaly (Celsius) RCP4.5 2081-2100 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

2m Mean Air Temperature Anomaly (Celsius) RCP8.5 2021-2040 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

2m Mean Air Temperature Anomaly (Celsius) RCP8.5 2041-2060 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

2m Mean Air Temperature Anomaly (Celsius) RCP8.5 2081-2100 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Relative Precipitation Anomaly (%) RCP2.6 2021-2040 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Relative Precipitation Anomaly (%) RCP2.6 2041-2060 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Relative Precipitation Anomaly (%) RCP2.6 2081-2100 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Relative Precipitation Anomaly (%) RCP4.5 2021-2040 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Relative Precipitation Anomaly (%) RCP4.5 2041-2060 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Relative Precipitation Anomaly (%) RCP4.5 2081-2100 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Relative Precipitation Anomaly (%) RCP8.5 2021-2040 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Relative Precipitation Anomaly (%) RCP8.5 2041-2060 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Relative Precipitation Anomaly (%) RCP8.5 2081-2100 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Robustness of projected 2m Mean Air Temperature Anomaly RCP2.6 2021-2040 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Robustness of projected 2m Mean Air Temperature Anomaly RCP2.6 2041-2060 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Robustness of projected 2m Mean Air Temperature Anomaly RCP2.6 2081-2100 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Robustness of projected 2m Mean Air Temperature Anomaly RCP4.5 2021-2040 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Robustness of projected 2m Mean Air Temperature Anomaly RCP4.5 2041-2060 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Robustness of projected 2m Mean Air Temperature Anomaly RCP4.5 2081-2100 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Robustness of projected 2m Mean Air Temperature Anomaly RCP8.5 2021-2040 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Robustness of projected 2m Mean Air Temperature Anomaly RCP8.5 2041-2060 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Robustness of projected 2m Mean Air Temperature Anomaly RCP8.5 2081-2100 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Robustness of projected Precipitation Anomaly RCP2.6 2021-2040 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Robustness of projected Precipitation Anomaly RCP2.6 2041-2060 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Robustness of projected Precipitation Anomaly RCP2.6 2081-2100 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Robustness of projected Precipitation Anomaly RCP4.5 2021-2040 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Robustness of projected Precipitation Anomaly RCP4.5 2041-2060 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Robustness of projected Precipitation Anomaly RCP4.5 2081-2100 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Robustness of projected Precipitation Anomaly RCP8.5 2021-2040 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Robustness of projected Precipitation Anomaly RCP8.5 2041-2060 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon

Robustness of projected Precipitation Anomaly RCP8.5 2081-2100 - CORDEX 0.5x0.5 lat-lon